burgercaret-downcaret-rightShape CopycloseGroup 19Group 16Group 17document-addMaterial/Icons white/Edit or CreateCombined ShapeShapeGroup 10Group 4Page 1Group 7Fill 1GroupGroup 31Group 21 CopyCombined ShapeShape

PPP Poll Shows Trump’s Shutdown Will Hurt Senate GOP in 2020

For Immediate Release: Thursday, January 10, 2019

Contact: press@moveon.org

New Poll: Government Shutdown Hurting Senate Republicans Up for Reelection in 2020

Voters would also oppose President Trump declaring a “National Emergency” to fund wall.

Washington, DC – New polling from Public Policy Polling (PPP), commissioned by MoveOn and the Immigration Hub, shows the government shutdown demanded by President Donald Trump and supported by Congressional Republicans is hurting Senate Republicans up for reelection in 2020. The polls, which were conducted in Arizona, Colorado, Iowa, Maine, Alaska, Georgia, and North Carolina, show that across the board, voters oppose Trump’s and the Republicans’ wall and want Congress to vote to re-open the government without any funding for the wall.

The polls also showed that sticking with President Trump on the shutdown makes voters less likely to vote for the GOP Senators in 2020.

Additionally, voters polled in Iowa, Maine, and North Carolina were also asked if they would oppose a plan to declare a national emergency to build the wall by diverting funds from other government agencies. Voters in the three states overwhelmingly opposed the plan.

Topline findings:

  • Majority of voters surveyed in the seven states do not agree with President Trump that the government should be kept closed until he gets funding for the wall.
  • Majority of voters in the seven states oppose President Trump’s demand that Congress spend billions in taxpayer dollars to build a wall along the southern border.
  • Majority of voters surveyed said they would be less likely to support their Republican Senator in the next elections because of their support of President Trump’s plan to keep the government closed for funding for a border wall.
  • Majority of voters surveyed in three states said they oppose any plan to declare a national emergency to build the wall.

State-by-state breakdown:

Do you agree or disagree with President Trump that the government should be kept closed until he gets funding for the wall? 

  • Alaska: 41% agree; 55% disagree 
  • Arizona: 40% agree; 55% disagree 
  • Colorado: 38% agree; 58% disagree 
  • Georgia: 41% agree; 55% disagree 
  • Iowa: 39% agree; 56% disagree 
  • Maine: 33% agree; 63% disagree 
  • North Carolina: 39% agree; 57% disagree 

 

Do you support or oppose President Trump’s demand that Congress spend billions in taxpayer dollars to build a wall along the southern border? 

  • Alaska: 47% support; 51% oppose 
  • Arizona: 44% support; 54% oppose 
  • Colorado: 42% support; 56% oppose 
  • Georgia: 48% support; 48% oppose 
  • Iowa: 45% support; 51% oppose 
  • Maine: 40% support; 57% oppose 
  • North Carolina: 48% support; 51% oppose 

 

Does (your Republican Senator’s) support of President Trump’s plan to keep the government closed if he doesn’t get funding for a border wall make you more or less likely to support her/him in his next election, or does it not make a difference? 

  • Alaska (Sen. Sullivan): 41% more likely; 50% less likely 
  • Arizona (Sen. McSally): 37% more likely; 50% less likely 
  • Colorado (Sen. Gardner): 37% more likely; 49% less likely 
  • Georgia: 41% more likely; 51% less likely 
  • Iowa (Sen. Ersnt): 37% more likely; 49% less likely 
  • Maine (Sen. Collins): 32% more likely; 53% less likely 
  • North Carolina (Sen. Tillis): 42% more likely; 48% less likely 

 

Would you support or oppose an unprecedented plan to declare a national emergency that would give President Trump unilateral power to divert funds from other departments, like the Department of Defense, to build his wall?**

  • Iowa: 36% support; 57% oppose 
  • Maine: 33% support; 62% oppose 
  • North Carolina: 39% support; 55% oppose

**This question was added after polls in AK, AZ, CO, GA were already in the field which is why results for those states do not exist.

You can see all the polling memos here:

Alaska

Arizona

Colorado

Georgia

Iowa

Maine

North Carolina

“Voters in these key states, like voters across the country, reject Donald Trump’s wall and want the government to re-open immediately,” said Emma Einhorn from MoveOn. “These polls should be a clear sign to these Republican Senators that if they continue to walk the plank for Donald Trump and his deeply unpopular policies, they put their re-elections at risk. The message is clear: re-open the government now without funding the wall and end this outrageous exercise.”

“The 2018 elections clearly showed that Trumps immigration fear-mongering backfired and cost them the House and races across the country,” said Tyler Moran from the Immigration Hub. “Now Trump has backed himself into a corner with a shutdown that polling shows he is overwhelmingly blamed for. If Republicans don’t break with him now, the 2020 results are going to look a lot like 2018.”

###